US-IL Joint
US-Israel Joint Operations
Assessment
The US-Israeli combined operation has achieved unprecedented tempo and scale. Division of labour is clear — US handles strategic infrastructure while Israel pursues decapitation and political targets. The combined force has degraded Iranian air defences, destroyed most of the Iranian navy, and hit targets across nearly all provinces. However, Iran's retaliatory capacity — particularly drones and ballistic missiles — remains operational, suggesting deep dispersal of assets.
Current posture
“CENTCOM: 'dismantle the Iranian regime's security apparatus.' Operation scope unprecedented.”
- •Joint strikes across 24 of Iran's 31 provinces in past 24 hours
- •1,200+ munitions dropped by Israeli air force in latest wave
- •US: command-and-control, missile sites, radar; Israel: decapitation strikes, government buildings
- •Combined effort has hit ~2,000 targets since Feb 28
- •Coordination on intelligence targeting for succession disruption
Recent actions
US destroys 16 IRGC mine-laying vessels near Strait of Hormuz in preemptive strike — largest single US naval action of the war. Substantially degrades Iran's ability to execute Hormuz mining. Oil falls to $87.80 on news.
US DOJ probing Iran's use of Binance to evade sanctions — $1.7B flagged from Chinese clients to Iranian proxy wallets including Houthis. Financial warfare layer alongside kinetic operations. Binance dismantled its own investigation team.
CENTCOM warns Iranian civilians to evacuate ports along Hormuz — citing loss of civilian port protected status under international law. Prelude to strikes on IRGC-used civilian port infrastructure.
Heavy bombers strike large ballistic missile manufacturing facility in Iran overnight — part of 5,500+ target campaign. Strike waves nearly every hour from different locations. Entire Soleimani-class warship class eliminated.
US-Israel managing a growing coalition: Turkey hosting Patriot + Kurecik radar; UAE receiving British air defense sorties; Saudi Arabia coordinating oil output cuts; UK providing Fairford + Diego Garcia + Typhoon sorties; France providing air defense equipment + CDG. The coalition is the broadest Western military cooperation since 2003 Iraq.
US-Israel coalition sustains three separate strike waves against Tehran in approximately 24 hours — requiring continuous air-to-air refuelling, munitions resupply, target deconfliction, and ISR support. The tempo demonstrates that both the IDF and USAF have the logistical depth to sustain a near-continuous air campaign against a major capital.
US-Israel joint intelligence and targeting identifies and strikes IRGC's underground ballistic missile R&D complex at Imam Hossein University — requiring both precise intelligence mapping and bunker-penetrating munitions. Same package strikes Quds Force HQ and airport infrastructure. Joint targeting is operating at its highest effectiveness of the war.
US-Israel joint intelligence tracking the dispersal of IRGC command personnel following strikes on Quds Force HQ and Imam Hossein University. Both Trump ('leaders gone or counting down') and Israel FM ('hands stained with blood') have signalled Mojtaba is a target. Joint ISR assets are attempting to locate the new supreme leader for a potential decapitation strike.
US-IL joint coordination on Phase 2 nuclear targeting — US STRATCOM and IDF planning integration on Fordow penetration assessment
US-Israel rift management: Witkoff-Kushner mission addresses oil depot scope disagreement at highest diplomatic level
Monitoring Oman back-channel and assessing Iranian negotiating position. Tracking Russian intelligence-sharing with Iran as potential treaty violation.
Tracking Iranian succession and factional dynamics. Key intelligence question: can new supreme leader (Mojtaba Khamenei) deliver ceasefire over IRGC hardliner objections?
NIC assessment reportedly concluded war on Iran is destined to fail. Significant IC-White House divergence on war objectives if accurate.
USS Houston SSN-713 confirmed as vessel that sank Iranian frigate Iris Dena in Indian Ocean. Three Australian AUKUS trainees aboard at time of engagement.
US 5th Fleet coordinates with IEA and Gulf partners on oil supply continuity. SPR drawdown continues. Indian oil waiver part of broader stabilization effort.
Three carrier strike groups — Ford, Vinson, Charles de Gaulle — maintain Persian Gulf and Arabian Sea positions. Round-the-clock air operations continue over Iran.
Actively tracking Mojtaba Khamenei's location using combination of SIGINT, HUMINT, and Ukrainian satellite data. IDF has pre-authorization to strike if confirmed location.
USS Carl Vinson Carrier Strike Group completed Gulf of Oman transit. Now operating in Arabian Sea -- third US carrier group in theatre.
Joint CENTCOM-IDF target committee confirmed air supremacy. Expanded Day 6 target list to include government ministries and IRGC command nodes.
Integrating Ukrainian Shahed intelligence data into CENTCOM air defence systems. Estimated 8-12% improvement in intercept rates against Iranian drone salvos.
Event responses
Joint CENTCOM-IDF statement: 'Air supremacy confirmed. Systematic degradation of Iranian military infrastructure continues.'
Israeli assessment of 'cracks' in IRGC morale and command coherence aligns with US intelligence tracking. Air defence units under psychological pressure. Commanders forcing frightened soldiers to continue launches is a significant degradation indicator.
The joint US-Israeli campaign has now reached Iran's economic core. Military infrastructure on Kharg Island is destroyed. The campaign will continue until Iran's ability to threaten the region is eliminated.
Iran's escalation to threatening Gulf commercial ports demonstrates the bankruptcy of its strategic position. US and Israeli forces stand ready to respond to any attack on partner state infrastructure.
Iran's escalatory rhetoric will not change our operational calculus. The US-Israeli campaign continues. Any Iranian attack on US military assets will be met with an immediate and overwhelming response.
US and Israeli forces are fully prepared to restore freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's IRGC Navy will face the consequences of any attack on civilian commercial shipping.
The scale of Iran's attack on the UAE — 42 projectiles in a single day — demonstrates the need to continue degrading Iran's missile and drone production capacity. The US-Israeli campaign will intensify accordingly.
Iran's attempt to implicate the UAE in the conflict is a transparent effort to expand the war and create a pretext for attacking civilian infrastructure. US operational basing arrangements are matters of bilateral agreements.
Houthi leader to Reuters: 'We stand fully militarily ready with all options. Zero hour is left to leadership. Until now Iran is doing well. If anything contrary to this happens then we can assess.'
Pro-Iran armed groups regularly conduct drone attacks on US assets in Erbil. Day 29 blast near airport is consistent with this pattern. No claim of responsibility in initial reporting.
Pro-Iran factions embedded in Iraqi security forces have conducted sustained drone and rocket attacks against US targets in Iraq throughout the conflict. The joint committee announcement signals US-Iraq intent to constrain this campaign.
US/Israel strike Iranian steel plants near Isfahan and Ahvaz — expanding campaign to degrade Iran's industrial production capacity.