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HIGHINTELLIGENCE

Iran can sustain missile fire for weeks, Israeli officials warn — Israel has limited sway on Trump's deadline

·Tel Aviv / Jerusalem, Israel

A senior Israeli security official said in a closed meeting that Iran can sustain its current missile rate for weeks, citing 'sufficient launchers and operational cells.' Channel 12 also reports Israel expects to be notified before any ceasefire but believes its ability to influence Trump's decision is currently limited. Netanyahu spoke with Rubio today on Israel's red lines. Ceasefire could come at any moment but gaps remain and escalation is still viable.

Channel 12 reported on 26 March 2026 that Israeli officials assess a potential ceasefire between Washington and Tehran could be reached at any moment. However, gaps remain and escalation is a viable scenario. Israel expects to be notified in advance of any ceasefire announcement but believes its ability to influence Trump's Friday deadline decision is currently limited. PM Netanyahu spoke with SecState Rubio today, reiterating Israel's red lines on any emerging deal. Separately, a senior Israeli security official said in a closed-door meeting that Iran can sustain its current rate of missile fire for weeks, citing 'sufficient launchers and operational cells to pace and prolong attacks.' This directly contradicts Vance's claim that Iran's conventional military is 'effectively destroyed' and raises questions about the effectiveness of IAF strikes on Parchin, Isfahan, and western Iranian launch sites in degrading Iran's missile capacity in the short term.
iranmissile-capacityisraelceasefiretrumpintelligenceassessment

Actor responses

Israel Defense ForcesNEUTRALINTELLIGENCE

Senior Israeli security official (closed meeting): Iran has 'sufficient launchers and operational cells to pace and prolong attacks' and can sustain current missile fire rate for weeks. Israel expects ceasefire notice from US but has limited influence on Trump's Friday deadline decision.

United StatesNEUTRALDIPLOMATIC

Netanyahu spoke with Rubio today, reiterating Israel's red lines on any emerging deal. The US has not publicly addressed Israeli assessments of Iran's remaining missile capacity.

IranSUPPORTINGMILITARY

Iranian missile capacity assessed by Israeli officials as sufficient to sustain weeks of current fire. Iran launched 9 salvos on Day 27 alone. The assessment suggests Iran's production and storage targets at Parchin, Isfahan, Kermanshah, and Dezful have not yet materially degraded its operational launch capability.

Sources