Dashboard →
HIGHPOLITICAL

Israeli ministers after briefing: Iranian regime collapse could take UP TO A YEAR — 'real fog' on war duration

·Tel Aviv / Jerusalem

Kan/Channel 13: Israeli ministers told after security briefing that campaign ends sooner than regime change — which could take up to a year. 'Real fog' on war duration; can't decipher Trump's intentions. No signal from Trump on end date. No certainty regime falls. Strategy: sustained pressure until Iranian public rises. 'Our role is to continue striking the oppressors until the public rises up.'

Government ministers who attended a security briefing told Kan public broadcaster that the fall of Iran's regime could take up to a year — even as the ongoing US-Israeli air campaign is expected to end sooner. 'After [the campaign ends], the work will be up to the Iranian people,' ministers told the network. Israeli security officials added there is 'real fog regarding the duration of the attack in Iran,' since it is 'difficult to decipher' the intentions of US President Donald Trump. The officials said conditions are not yet ripe for the Iranian public to take to the streets — the population needs more time to reach a breaking point. They expect Israeli and US airstrikes to continue in the coming week. Officials separately told Channel 13 — apparently referencing the same briefing — that there is 'no certainty Iran's regime will fall,' and that no signal has been received from Trump indicating when the fighting will end. Israel's current strategy, as articulated to Channel 13: maintain sustained military pressure until the Iranian people can overthrow their rulers. 'Our role is to continue striking the oppressors,' one official said, 'until the public rises up.' The briefing reveals a significant gap between Israeli and US assumptions: Speaker Johnson says 'nearly completed,' Witkoff says enrichment 'almost all destroyed,' but Israeli officials see a much longer timeline to actual regime change — up to a year. The air campaign ends sooner; what comes after is far less certain.

Actor responses

IsraelSUPPORTINGSTATEMENT

Our role is to continue striking the oppressors until the Iranian public rises up. There is real fog on war duration. Regime change may take up to a year after the campaign ends. We must not stop short.

IranOPPOSINGSTATEMENT

The Zionist fantasy of regime change in Iran will never be realized. The Iranian people stand behind their leadership against foreign aggression. Foreign bombs do not bring liberation, they bring resistance.

Sources

T1Kan / Channel 13 / ToI88% reliability