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HIGHECONOMICVERIFIED

Strait of Hormuz P&I insurance fully withdrawn — effective commercial closure

·Strait of Hormuz

Protection and Indemnity (P&I) insurance clubs have fully withdrawn coverage for vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz as of March 5, making it economically impossible for most commercial ships to transit. The strait is now effectively closed to commercial shipping even if technically open. 20% of the world's daily oil supply is blocked.

The major P&I insurance clubs — including Gard, Skuld, Britannia, and the West of England — formally withdrew Protection and Indemnity coverage for Strait of Hormuz transits effective March 5. Without P&I insurance, shipowners cannot legally operate most vessels and cannot obtain cargo or hull coverage from secondary insurers. This effectively closes the strait to all but the most risk-tolerant state-owned vessels (China, India national tankers). 4 seafarers have already been killed and 3 tankers damaged since February 28. Tanker traffic has dropped to near zero — approximately 150 ships are anchored outside the strait. The strait normally carries 20 million barrels of oil per day (20% of global seaborne supply) and Europe's 12-14% LNG from Qatar. Brent crude is expected to push toward $170-180 on Asian market open. India, Japan, and South Korea — which receive 84% of Hormuz oil — have activated emergency reserves. The US Energy Secretary announced SPR releases will increase to 1.5M bbl/day.
hormuzshippingoilinsuranceeconomicclosure

Actor responses

IranSUPPORTINGEconomic Warfare

IRGC Navy: 'The Strait belongs to Iran. Any vessel that enters does so at its own risk.'

United StatesOPPOSINGMilitary Response

CENTCOM: 'We will ensure freedom of navigation. The US Navy stands ready to escort allied shipping.'

Sources

T2Wikipedia — 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis80% reliability
T1Reuters95% reliability
T1Financial Times95% reliability

Related signals (3)

Financial Times@@FinancialTimesHIGH

Brent crude opens above $168 in Asian trading as Strait of Hormuz P&I insurance pulled entirely. Goldman Sachs revises $200/barrel target: 'now our base case within 2 weeks if Hormuz stays closed.' ECB emergency board meets today. Asian central banks conducting emergency FX interventions.

PHAROS NOTEGoldman $200 base case (not worst case). Asian FX interventions signal systemic economic stress. ECB meeting today. The financial system is now directly engaged with the war's outcome.
Reuters@@ReutersBREAKING

BREAKING: Major P&I insurance clubs withdraw Strait of Hormuz coverage effective today. No P&I = commercial ships cannot legally transit. The strait is now effectively closed to global shipping. 20% of world oil supply blocked. Brent crude expected to push toward $175 at Asia open.

PHAROS NOTEP&I withdrawal is the formal mechanism that closes Hormuz more effectively than any military action. 150 ships anchored outside. This is the oil supply shock that markets have been dreading.
Aurora Intel@@AuroraIntelHIGH

Hormuz P&I insurance fully withdrawn by all major underwriters. Effective commercial closure. No tanker transits without insurance. Brent above $168. Goldman: $200 base case, $250 if closure persists 7+ days.

PHAROS NOTEP&I removal more effective than physical blockade — closes strait commercially without IRGC firing a shot.