Israel assesses Hezbollah preparing to strike strategic infrastructure; diplomacy only possible via Iran deal

Israeli intelligence assessment, per Channel 12: THREAT: Hezbollah is actively trying to 'notch a key achievement' by striking sensitive Israeli strategic infrastructure in the near future. Specific infrastructure targets not identified in the report. DIPLOMATIC CONDITION: Hezbollah will only engage in a diplomatic path to end Lebanon fighting if such an agreement is part of a 'broader regional deal' that includes the end of the war with Iran. This effectively means no standalone Lebanon ceasefire — Lebanon and Iran are bundled. CONTEXT: Israeli strategic infrastructure includes: the national electricity grid, water treatment and desalination plants, the Haifa port and refinery complex, natural gas platforms (Leviathan, Karish), and communications nodes. Hezbollah has continued rocket and drone attacks on northern Israel throughout Day 23 despite IDF extensive airstrikes, 5 Litani bridges destroyed, and the killing of Radwan Force SF commander Barji. IDF Chief Zamir has said the campaign will 'deepen' — and Hezbollah's escalation to infrastructure targeting would represent a major qualitative step up.