Iran ceasefire demand: US and Israel must guarantee no future attacks — Bloomberg

Iran has told mediators that it will only agree to a ceasefire to end the war if it includes an American guarantee that the US and Israel will not attack the Islamic Republic again in the future, Bloomberg reported citing unnamed sources with knowledge of the matter. Such a demand is assessed as highly unlikely to be accepted by either Washington or Jerusalem. The White House has defined 'victory' as Iran's unconditional surrender and the destruction of its ballistic missile arsenal — a demand that is structurally incompatible with Iran's survival as a regional power. Israel has explicitly stated it aims to enable regime change. Iran's demand for a 'no future attack' guarantee reflects its awareness that any ceasefire without such a guarantee would leave it militarily degraded and vulnerable to a second strike, while its nuclear program is under ongoing destruction and its supreme leader wounded. The back-channel is believed to be operating through Oman despite Iran's attack on Salalah port — a remarkable diplomatic asymmetry where Iran is simultaneously attacking its mediator's infrastructure while seeking a deal through it. Russia is also positioned as a potential intermediary following Putin's call with Pezeshkian.